Small Cap Stocks 2024 Second Half Outlook

July 16, 20240Comments

Small Cap Stocks 2024 Second Half Outlook

Small cap stocks struggled in the first half of 2024 due to economic concerns and higher interest rates, lagging behind broader market indexes.The outlook for small caps in the second

by Chandra

Smallcap Stocks

Stock Market Outlook

January 16, 20240Comments

Opportunities Abound
Outlook For Small Cap Stocks In 2024

Small cap stocks surged in the final two months of the year as the 10-year yield reversed direction.The Fed's actions in 2024 will determine the prospects for small cap stocks,

by Chandra

Stock Market Outlook

December 14, 20230Comments

When Doves Fly And The Bulls Run

The Federal Reserve's Open Market Committee offered the possibility of three rate cuts next year, driving stock market indexes to new highs.The Fed's outlook has pivoted towards market expectations, with

by Chandra

Stock Market Outlook

December 1, 20230Comments

Federal Reserve To Sustain Or Snip The Rally

Market awaits Federal Reserve's decision on future rate cuts, with expectations rising for cuts in March and May.Fed is cautious about signaling a shift to less restrictive policy due to

by Chandra

Smallcap Stocks

Stock Market Outlook

June 20, 20230Comments

The Stock Market’s Big Question

The Federal Reserve paused rate hikes after 10 consecutive increases.Fed's projections indicate two additional rate hikes are possible.The market has been resilient and continues to trend higher after the meeting,

by Chandra

Stock Market Outlook

March 28, 20230Comments

The Market Waits

The Federal Reserve raised interest rates by a quarter point to manage inflation, but faces a conundrum.The Federal Reserve has opened a new short-term loan facility to address a liquidity

by Chandra

Federal Reserve Bank Alex Wong/Getty Images News

Stock Market Outlook

March 21, 20230Comments

Market’s Biggest Week This Year As The Fed Meets

The unfolding banking crisis has been shaking financial markets and contributing to a negative tone in the stock market.Recession risk has risen as the banking crisis envelops more banks.The Federal

by Chandra

Smallcap Stocks

Stock Market Outlook

January 30, 20230Comments

Opportunities Abound Small Cap Outlook 2023

Small caps outperformed the Nasdaq Composite last year as stocks fell due to the Federal Reserve's efforts to control inflation.Market fears are mounting that the economy may slip into a

by Chandra

Smallcap Stocks

Stock Market Outlook

October 25, 20220Comments

Stocks Get Closer To A Surge

Interest rate policy is getting closer to a step-down.More Federal Reserve officials are focused on the risks of sharply rising rates.Inflation can fall rapidly next year due to the lagging

by Chandra

Stock Market Outlook

Systematic Investing

October 20, 20220Comments

Living In A Drawdown State
60% Of The Time

Bear markets bring into focus the inevitability of portfolio drawdowns.Drawdowns are more common than investors realize.About two-thirds of the time a portfolio will be in a drawdown state, referred to

by Chandra

Interest Rate and Inflation Roller Coaster

Smallcap Stocks

Stock Market Outlook

September 12, 20220Comments

Where Do Stocks Go
As The FED Goes Tighter For Longer?

The Federal Reserve continues to talk-up its resolve in taming inflation.While a 75 basis point increase is baked in for late September, it is likely that the November meeting brings

January 20, 20210Comments

The Resurgence Of Small Caps – 2021 Outlook

An economic rebound in 2021 should benefit small-cap companies.Monetary and fiscal policy alignment to boost economic growth.Small-cap stocks can be the high growth cyclicals and outperform after lagging in 2020.A

by Chandra

graycelladvisors.com ~ Small Cap growth 2020

Smallcap Stocks

Stock Market Outlook

November 25, 20200Comments

Small Caps Record A New High, Finally, With More To Come

Small caps finally record a new high after two years and turn positive for the year.Vaccine progress is raising expectations of a more robust and durable economic recovery in 2021,

by Chandra

Smallcap Stocks

Stock Market Outlook

October 30, 20200Comments

The Market Is Biding Time

by Chandra

Smallcap Stocks

Stock Market Outlook

October 12, 20200Comments

Stocks To March Higher
Irrespective Of Election Outcome

Stocks to move higher irrespective of Presidential election outcome.Prominent near-term risk is of a contested election.If polling lead stays steady or widens, stocks to respond positivelyStocks are well-placed to have

April 10, 20200Comments

Stock Market’s Next Move

The market remains unsettled but is moving higher as it expects good things to happen after the hot spots peak.The impact of the pandemic will keep expanding deeper into the

by Chandra

PrudentBiotech.com ~ Economy and Coronavirus

Smallcap Stocks

March 27, 20200Comments

Reviving A Comatose Economy

A deliberate slowing down of the economy is in progress in order to preserve it.The key question remains how soon can we start recovering.The expected $2 trillion stimulus package will

by Chandra

Smallcap Stocks

Stock Market Outlook

August 30, 20190Comments

OLD -The Trade War Has An Upside

Recession fears fueled by an inverting yield curve has investors scrambling for cover The US-China trade war has convulsed the market with unexpected bouts of severe volatility The trade war

August 7, 20190Comments

Sell Or Hold As Volatility Strikes

Unexpected tariffs catch the market by surpriseSharp selloff accompanies escalating trade conflict with ChinaWhile the negative consequences of rising trade friction are significant, there are a couple of positives which

by Chandra

Smallcap Stocks

Stock Market Outlook

March 31, 20190Comments

Yield Inversion Is Not Stomping Out A Bull Market Yet

The Zero Spread is providing a signal of the building risk of an economic recession. A substantial lag exists between yield curve inversion and a recession, and a key

January 30, 20190Comments

Does The Bull Survive?
Stock Market Outlook 2019

Intense volatility in the final quarter eroded double-digit gains last year Fears of a recession or a sharp economic slowdown in 2019 are inconsistent with data and most likely

by Chandra

GraycellAdvisors.com ~ Conflict - White House and Federal Reserve

Smallcap Stocks

Stock Market Outlook

December 27, 20180Comments

So We Got Ourselves A Bear. Now Lets Go Find A Recession.

Stock market indexes and sectors have slipped 20% to 40% from their highs. But the economy is heading for moderation, not a recession. The bear market has been created

by Chandra

Smallcap Stocks

Stock Market Outlook

October 31, 20180Comments

This Stock Market Reset Requires Patience

Halloween is coming, but the goblins seem to have already arrived and lost their way into the stock market. And they're creating havoc! The relentless volatility and a drip of

by Chandra

Smallcap Stocks

Stock Market Outlook

October 14, 20180Comments

A Federal Reserve Jolt

Federal Reserve Chairman Powell's recent comments about future rate hikes are being perceived to be more hawkish. With interest rate risk rising, short-term volatility has increased further in a

by Chandra

Graycell Advisors - Federal Reserve Bank

Stock Market Outlook

Systematic Investing

September 28, 20180Comments

An Upheaval – Systematic Disciplined Thinkers Toll The Bell!

On the 10th anniversary of the 2008 financial crisis, deep thinkers predict a potential crisis that can lead to social and political upheavals. Monetary policy will be a key

September 7, 20180Comments

Small Cap Stocks Are Rising. Biotechs Can’t Be Far Behind!

While much attention is being riveted on the S&P 500 new all-time high eclipsing the January one, small cap stocks accomplished that in May. Small cap stocks are in

July 10, 20180Comments

Second Half Stock Market Outlook: What Now After Double-Digit Gains?

Earnings fountain created many opportunities in the first-half, even though index returns were relatively restrained. During the first-half, the market overcame a tide of negative sentiment, including a breaking

June 27, 20180Comments

A Short Case For A Longer Term

The stock market is volatile but still rewarding Most investors should favor a longer-term time frame as the stock market again records new highs after recovering from the first quarter

May 25, 20180Comments

Small Caps Charge Bodes Well For The Stock Market

Small cap stocks record fresh all-time highs leading the broader market indexes higher for the first time in a couple of years Small cap performance suggests an underlying risk

by Chandra

Graycell Advisors ~ New York Stock Exchange - Stock Market

Smallcap Stocks

Stock Market Outlook

May 17, 20181Comments

Small Cap Stocks: The Bright Spot In A Challenging Market

Stock market volatility is disruptive but has not damaged the markets Key supports remain favorable for the primary uptrend Growing political risk is a bigger threat to the market

February 23, 20181Comments

Stock Market: It’s Not Over Yet

Stock market gored by a sharp spike in yields. Rising inflationary expectations feed into the fear of an aggressive monetary policy beyond current expectation. A cyclical adjustment as we

January 10, 20182Comments

When The Bulls Growl & The Bears Moo! Stock Market Outlook 2018

Stocks remain in a major uptrend. Staying the course worked great in 2017 and remains an effective strategy even now. Witnessing a renewal of business cycle expansion, which can

by Chandra

Stock Market Outlook

Systematic Investing

November 15, 20170Comments

Investor Biases. Be Aware!

November 14, 2017 We can be irrational investors and have to be aware of our biases. Investing biases can cost us significant returns over time. Group Thinking, Loss Aversion, and

by Chandra

Stock Market Outlook

Systematic Investing

November 6, 20170Comments

Systematic Investing Works!

November 07, 2017 Systematic Investing, using quantitative models, continues to grow as it addresses key drawback of active investing - behavioral biases Behavioral economics continues to provide growing evidence of

by Chandra

Systematic Investing

October 30, 20170Comments

The Small Cap Rush!

October 10, 2017 After a sleepy start, small cap stocks have turned up the heat. Corporate tax cut proposal triggered the rally. The enduring power of small cap relative outperformance

by Chandra

GraycellAdvisors.com ~ Capitol Hill ~ Tax Cuts

Smallcap Stocks

Stock Market Outlook

October 30, 20171Comments

Move Over Yellen! It’s Tax Cut Time!

September 29, 2017 Yellen remains steadfast on the interest rate path Stock market takes the higher probability of December rate rise in its stride The health care repeals effort fizzle

by Chandra

Smallcap Stocks

Stock Market Outlook

September 19, 20171Comments

Will The Federal Reserve Send The Market Higher?

September 19, 2017 Federal Reserve begins an important meeting on Tuesday with implications for the stock market Start date for the Balance Sheet Rollback program to be announced Federal Reserve's

August 29, 20171Comments

A Partial Stock Market Eclipse Maybe, But Not A Total One!

August 30, 2017 Entering a period of elevated risk from unrealized policy expectations, budget ceiling debate, and Federal Reserve's quantitative easing reversal September and October are the months to be

by Chandra

Graycell Advisors - Federal Reserve - Monetary Policy

Smallcap Stocks

Stock Market Outlook

July 17, 20170Comments

Monetary Policy Reset At The Federal Reserve

Monetary policy became more aggressive last month with the announcement of the balance sheet normalization program Emerging evidence now points to a willingness to reconsider further rate increases based

by Chandra

Smallcap Stocks

Stock Market Outlook

June 29, 20170Comments

Will The Federal Reserve Avoid A Slowdown?

June 29, 2017 Market fundamentals remain stable with earnings momentum and a steady economy Monetary policy experiencing a material change as the Federal Reserve outlined a program to reverse quantitative

by Chandra

Graycell Advisors - President Donald Trump - credit: TIME

Smallcap Stocks

Stock Market Outlook

June 9, 20170Comments

Lessons from a Trump Presidency

May 16, 2017 Controversies are now typical of the new Trump administration. In spite of jolting political news, the market remains in a steady uptrend. Earnings and growth trump

by Chandra

Graycell Advisors - New York Stock Exchange

Smallcap Stocks

Stock Market Outlook

April 25, 20170Comments

Is The Stock Market’s Hour Up?

April 26, 2017 Market professionals are suggesting an imminent correction for some time. Key measures are indicating overvaluation. But the market still marches on. Market Timing is a costly exercise,

by Chandra

Smallcap Stocks

Stock Market Outlook

March 24, 20173Comments

The Relentless Stock Market And Missed Calls!

March 24, 2017 Brilliant professional money managers fail in their market timing. For individuals it is even harder to engage in market timing. An eye on the three key supports

by Chandra

Stock Market Outlook

Systematic Investing

February 28, 20171Comments

Buffett Makes It Clear!

Buffett's Recent Investments Suggest Confidence In Economic Growth. The Economy Has Legs and So Does the Market. Uninterrupted Market Rise Raises Probability of A Normal Pullback. Even Though March

by Chandra

Systematic Investing

February 8, 20170Comments

The Stock Market Is Heading Higher

February 08, 2017 A change of administration typically means new policies that impact economic growth The first two weeks of the new administration have been fairly controversial The stock market

by Chandra

Smallcap Stocks

Stock Market Outlook

January 22, 20171Comments

Small Cap Stocks Breathe Fire!

January 22, 2017 Small Cap stocks had a strong 2016 after a slow start The enduring power of Small Cap performance over years should factor into portfolio decisions Investors must

by Chandra

Systematic Investing

January 17, 20170Comments

Legendary Investor Had An Unlikely Tough 2016 – 1% Return!

January 18, 2017 Steve Cohen is one of the most successful hedge fund managers of the last 25 years. His firm, Point72 Asset Management, had a difficult last year as the

by Chandra

Smallcap Stocks

Stock Market Outlook

December 20, 20163Comments

Still Waiting For A Correction? Stock Market Outlook For 2017

December 20, 2016 Investors have been fairly cautious in the second-half, with money managers and analysts predicting an imminent correction. All key constructs of stock market valuation have continued to

by Chandra

Systematic Investing

December 13, 20161Comments

Living In A Drawdown State – 60% Of The Time

Drawdowns are inevitable and more common than investors realize. Nearly two-thirds of the time a portfolio will be in a Drawdown, referred to as a State of Regret. Nearly

by Chandra

Smallcap Stocks

Stock Market Outlook

November 15, 20161Comments

Return Of The Fundamentals – 3 Reasons For Stocks To Head Higher

November 11, 2017 Economy and earnings can't be ignored. Monetary policy remains accommodative. Investor sentiment has improved markedly towards assuming risk in stocks. Higher stock prices and new stock market highs expected It may be instructive to keep

by Chandra

Systematic Investing

November 5, 20160Comments

Madam Or Mister President – Pricing A Presidency

November 5, 2016 The stock market begins to factor in a non-Clinton Presidency. Late momentum allows Trump to close gap with Clinton, forcing the stock market to recalibrate. A spurt

by Chandra

Systematic Investing

October 31, 20160Comments

The State Of The Market 7 Days Before Elections

November 1, 2016 Earnings are coming in better than expected by the stock market, with the S&P 500 companies reversing an over year-long decline during Q3 itself. The final hustle

by Chandra

Systematic Investing

October 17, 20160Comments

Trading Strategy Exacerbates Market Turmoil

October 17, 2016 Recently, Robin Wigglesworth of Financial Times wrote an interesting article about some automated systematic investing strategies being pursued by institutions that add to the volatility in the stock

by Chandra

Stock Market Outlook

Systematic Investing

October 13, 20160Comments

It’s October, And The Stock Market Has Not Given Up Yet!

OCTOBER 13, 2016 Attention shifts from US elections towards earnings Third quarter earnings to be supportive of stock valuations Monetary policy to assume greater importance later in November Uptrend remains

by Chandra

Systematic Investing

September 29, 20160Comments

Hedge Fund Legend Notes Industry’s Hard Struggle To Generate Returns

SEPTEMBER 29, 2016 Julian Robertson, a legendary hedge fund manager who founded one of the most successful hedge funds, Tiger Management, noted in a recent Bloomberg interview that the industry faces

by Chandra

Systematic Investing

September 24, 20160Comments

Federal Reserve Policy Bolsters Case To Stay With Stocks

SEPTEMBER 23, 2016 The case for staying the course with stocks was bolstered following the FED's ongoing pause. As earnings season arrives, technology to power Nasdaq Higher. October can see

by Chandra

Systematic Investing

September 21, 20160Comments

Understanding Our Investing Biases – Part 2

SEPTEMBER 21, 2016 Investors are not rational and have to deal with biases. Investing biases can cost us significant return over time. Disposition, Confirmation, and Anchoring are few other biases

by Chandra

Systematic Investing

September 17, 20160Comments

Understanding Our Investing Biases – Part 1

SEPTEMBER 17, 2017 Investors are not rational and have to deal with biases. Investing biases can cost us significant return over time. Loss Aversion, Confidence, and Bandwagon are few of

by Chandra

Smallcap Stocks

Stock Market Outlook

September 13, 20161Comments

Staying The Course!
Stocks Remain Attractive

SEPTEMBER 13, 2016 Federal Reserve to shift out any monetary policy change to December or beyond. A pre-emptive increase can turn the intended medicine to poison. Volatility to remain elevated

by Chandra

Systematic Investing

September 11, 20160Comments

Why UBS Is Hiring So Many Quants?

SEPTEMBER 12, 2016 This recent headline on Bloomberg caught my attention. "There's a Simple Reason Why UBS Is Hiring So Many Quants" The Swiss financial giant UBS Group, which oversees nearly $2 trillion, has

September 9, 20161Comments

Active Management Loses Ground

SEPTEMBER 09, 2016 Most Active Managers Are Unable to Outperform benchmark S&P500 Small-cap managers face an even more uphill battle with 90% underperforming S&P600 There is room to consider model-based

by Chandra

Stock Market Outlook

August 9, 20160Comments

With Market At All-Time Highs,
September Can Be A Month Of Consolidation

AUGUST 9, 2016 Markets have overcome systemic shocks to record all-time highs. Rally has begin to shift towards being earnings-driven as well, rather than being interest-rate driven. September could be

by Chandra

Smallcap Stocks

Stock Market Outlook

July 16, 20160Comments

Smallcap Stocks are Charging Ahead

JULY 14, 2016 Small-cap stocks have risen strongly from their February lows Risk appetite remains strong, and portfolio exposure to this dynamic segment is prudent Favorable Fed policy and signs

by Chandra

Smallcap Stocks

Stock Market Outlook

June 29, 20161Comments

Brexit Doesn’t Mean An Exit On Stocks

JUNE 30, 2016 Interest Rates to Remain Lower for Longer Economic Growth was Stronger in Q1 than Expected Even though Brexit Puts Pressure on Global Growth, How Much and When

by Chandra

Stock Market Outlook

March 16, 20160Comments

It’s The Fed’s Move Once Again

Federal Reserve will update its “dot plot” to reflect the median rate hikes for 2016, and that number is widely expected to come down to 3 from 4 A

by Chandra

Smallcap Stocks

Stock Market Outlook

January 7, 20160Comments

The Fed’s Done For Now – Market And Smallcap Viewpoint For 2016

We anticipate the market decline to provide fresh legs for a new rally later in the first quarter and early second quarter For the year, we anticipate a positive

by Chandra

Smallcap Stocks

Stock Market Outlook

September 16, 20150Comments

The Song Of The Fed: Market Outlook And Smallcap Commentary

SEPTEMBER 16, 2015 The market expectation we laid out in our January 2015 commentary and reiterated in April 2015 second quarter commentary was borne out from late-June through August. As

by Chandra

Stock Market Outlook

January 1, 20150Comments

Viewpoint: Stock Market Outlook And Smallcap Performance In 2015

Small cap stocks underperformed significantly during 2014, compared to larger caps. As the US economy strengthens while key international economies struggle, small caps are well-positioned. We anticipate small caps

by Chandra