Smallcap Stocks Stock Market Outlook

Small Cap Stocks 2024 Second Half Outlook

Small cap stocks struggled in the first half of 2024 due to economic concerns and higher interest rates, lagging behind broader market indexes.The outlook for small caps in the second

Opportunities Abound
Outlook For Small Cap Stocks In 2024

Small cap stocks surged in the final two months of the year as the 10-year yield reversed direction.The Fed's actions in 2024 will determine the prospects for small cap stocks,

When Doves Fly And The Bulls Run

The Federal Reserve's Open Market Committee offered the possibility of three rate cuts next year, driving stock market indexes to new highs.The Fed's outlook has pivoted towards market expectations, with

Federal Reserve To Sustain Or Snip The Rally

Market awaits Federal Reserve's decision on future rate cuts, with expectations rising for cuts in March and May.Fed is cautious about signaling a shift to less restrictive policy due to

The Stock Market’s Big Question

The Federal Reserve paused rate hikes after 10 consecutive increases.Fed's projections indicate two additional rate hikes are possible.The market has been resilient and continues to trend higher after the meeting,

The Market Waits

The Federal Reserve raised interest rates by a quarter point to manage inflation, but faces a conundrum.The Federal Reserve has opened a new short-term loan facility to address a liquidity

Federal Reserve Bank Alex Wong/Getty Images News

Market’s Biggest Week This Year As The Fed Meets

The unfolding banking crisis has been shaking financial markets and contributing to a negative tone in the stock market.Recession risk has risen as the banking crisis envelops more banks.The Federal

Opportunities Abound Small Cap Outlook 2023

Small caps outperformed the Nasdaq Composite last year as stocks fell due to the Federal Reserve's efforts to control inflation.Market fears are mounting that the economy may slip into a

Stocks Get Closer To A Surge

Interest rate policy is getting closer to a step-down.More Federal Reserve officials are focused on the risks of sharply rising rates.Inflation can fall rapidly next year due to the lagging

Living In A Drawdown State
60% Of The Time

Bear markets bring into focus the inevitability of portfolio drawdowns.Drawdowns are more common than investors realize.About two-thirds of the time a portfolio will be in a drawdown state, referred to

Interest Rate and Inflation Roller Coaster

Where Do Stocks Go
As The FED Goes Tighter For Longer?

The Federal Reserve continues to talk-up its resolve in taming inflation.While a 75 basis point increase is baked in for late September, it is likely that the November meeting brings

The Resurgence Of Small Caps – 2021 Outlook

An economic rebound in 2021 should benefit small-cap companies.Monetary and fiscal policy alignment to boost economic growth.Small-cap stocks can be the high growth cyclicals and outperform after lagging in 2020.A

graycelladvisors.com ~ Small Cap growth 2020

Small Caps Record A New High, Finally, With More To Come

Small caps finally record a new high after two years and turn positive for the year.Vaccine progress is raising expectations of a more robust and durable economic recovery in 2021,

The Market Is Biding Time

Stocks To March Higher
Irrespective Of Election Outcome

Stocks to move higher irrespective of Presidential election outcome.Prominent near-term risk is of a contested election.If polling lead stays steady or widens, stocks to respond positivelyStocks are well-placed to have

Stock Market’s Next Move

The market remains unsettled but is moving higher as it expects good things to happen after the hot spots peak.The impact of the pandemic will keep expanding deeper into the

PrudentBiotech.com ~ Economy and Coronavirus

Reviving A Comatose Economy

A deliberate slowing down of the economy is in progress in order to preserve it.The key question remains how soon can we start recovering.The expected $2 trillion stimulus package will

OLD -The Trade War Has An Upside

Recession fears fueled by an inverting yield curve has investors scrambling for cover The US-China trade war has convulsed the market with unexpected bouts of severe volatility The trade war

GraycellAdvisors.com ~ Yuan-Dollar - Getty Images

Sell Or Hold As Volatility Strikes

Unexpected tariffs catch the market by surpriseSharp selloff accompanies escalating trade conflict with ChinaWhile the negative consequences of rising trade friction are significant, there are a couple of positives which

Yield Inversion Is Not Stomping Out A Bull Market Yet

The Zero Spread is providing a signal of the building risk of an economic recession. A substantial lag exists between yield curve inversion and a recession, and a key

Does The Bull Survive?
Stock Market Outlook 2019

Intense volatility in the final quarter eroded double-digit gains last year Fears of a recession or a sharp economic slowdown in 2019 are inconsistent with data and most likely

GraycellAdvisors.com ~ Conflict - White House and Federal Reserve

So We Got Ourselves A Bear. Now Lets Go Find A Recession.

Stock market indexes and sectors have slipped 20% to 40% from their highs. But the economy is heading for moderation, not a recession. The bear market has been created

GraycellAdvisors.com ~ Stock Market Outlook

This Stock Market Reset Requires Patience

Halloween is coming, but the goblins seem to have already arrived and lost their way into the stock market. And they're creating havoc! The relentless volatility and a drip of

A Federal Reserve Jolt

Federal Reserve Chairman Powell's recent comments about future rate hikes are being perceived to be more hawkish. With interest rate risk rising, short-term volatility has increased further in a

Graycell Advisors - Federal Reserve Bank

An Upheaval – Systematic Disciplined Thinkers Toll The Bell!

On the 10th anniversary of the 2008 financial crisis, deep thinkers predict a potential crisis that can lead to social and political upheavals. Monetary policy will be a key

Small Cap Stocks Are Rising. Biotechs Can’t Be Far Behind!

While much attention is being riveted on the S&P 500 new all-time high eclipsing the January one, small cap stocks accomplished that in May. Small cap stocks are in

GraycellAdvisors.com ~ Stock Market Outlook 2018

Second Half Stock Market Outlook: What Now After Double-Digit Gains?

Earnings fountain created many opportunities in the first-half, even though index returns were relatively restrained. During the first-half, the market overcame a tide of negative sentiment, including a breaking

GraycellAdvisors.com ~ New York Stock Exchange - Stock Market

A Short Case For A Longer Term

The stock market is volatile but still rewarding Most investors should favor a longer-term time frame as the stock market again records new highs after recovering from the first quarter

Small Caps Charge Bodes Well For The Stock Market

Small cap stocks record fresh all-time highs leading the broader market indexes higher for the first time in a couple of years Small cap performance suggests an underlying risk

Graycell Advisors ~ New York Stock Exchange - Stock Market

Small Cap Stocks: The Bright Spot In A Challenging Market

Stock market volatility is disruptive but has not damaged the markets Key supports remain favorable for the primary uptrend Growing political risk is a bigger threat to the market

GraycellAdvisors.com ~ Stock Market To Rise Again

Stock Market: It’s Not Over Yet

Stock market gored by a sharp spike in yields. Rising inflationary expectations feed into the fear of an aggressive monetary policy beyond current expectation. A cyclical adjustment as we

When The Bulls Growl & The Bears Moo! Stock Market Outlook 2018

Stocks remain in a major uptrend. Staying the course worked great in 2017 and remains an effective strategy even now. Witnessing a renewal of business cycle expansion, which can

Investor Biases. Be Aware!

November 14, 2017 We can be irrational investors and have to be aware of our biases. Investing biases can cost us significant returns over time. Group Thinking, Loss Aversion, and

Systematic Investing Works!

November 07, 2017 Systematic Investing, using quantitative models, continues to grow as it addresses key drawback of active investing - behavioral biases Behavioral economics continues to provide growing evidence of

The Small Cap Rush!

October 10, 2017 After a sleepy start, small cap stocks have turned up the heat. Corporate tax cut proposal triggered the rally. The enduring power of small cap relative outperformance

GraycellAdvisors.com ~ Capitol Hill ~ Tax Cuts

Move Over Yellen! It’s Tax Cut Time!

September 29, 2017 Yellen remains steadfast on the interest rate path Stock market takes the higher probability of December rate rise in its stride The health care repeals effort fizzle

Will The Federal Reserve Send The Market Higher?

September 19, 2017 Federal Reserve begins an important meeting on Tuesday with implications for the stock market Start date for the Balance Sheet Rollback program to be announced Federal Reserve's

A Partial Stock Market Eclipse Maybe, But Not A Total One!

August 30, 2017 Entering a period of elevated risk from unrealized policy expectations, budget ceiling debate, and Federal Reserve's quantitative easing reversal September and October are the months to be

Graycell Advisors - Federal Reserve - Monetary Policy

Monetary Policy Reset At The Federal Reserve

Monetary policy became more aggressive last month with the announcement of the balance sheet normalization program Emerging evidence now points to a willingness to reconsider further rate increases based

Will The Federal Reserve Avoid A Slowdown?

June 29, 2017 Market fundamentals remain stable with earnings momentum and a steady economy Monetary policy experiencing a material change as the Federal Reserve outlined a program to reverse quantitative

Graycell Advisors - President Donald Trump - credit: TIME

Lessons from a Trump Presidency

May 16, 2017 Controversies are now typical of the new Trump administration. In spite of jolting political news, the market remains in a steady uptrend. Earnings and growth trump

Graycell Advisors - New York Stock Exchange

Is The Stock Market’s Hour Up?

April 26, 2017 Market professionals are suggesting an imminent correction for some time. Key measures are indicating overvaluation. But the market still marches on. Market Timing is a costly exercise,

The Relentless Stock Market And Missed Calls!

March 24, 2017 Brilliant professional money managers fail in their market timing. For individuals it is even harder to engage in market timing. An eye on the three key supports

Buffett Makes It Clear!

Buffett's Recent Investments Suggest Confidence In Economic Growth. The Economy Has Legs and So Does the Market. Uninterrupted Market Rise Raises Probability of A Normal Pullback. Even Though March

The Stock Market Is Heading Higher

February 08, 2017 A change of administration typically means new policies that impact economic growth The first two weeks of the new administration have been fairly controversial The stock market

Small Cap Stocks Breathe Fire!

January 22, 2017 Small Cap stocks had a strong 2016 after a slow start The enduring power of Small Cap performance over years should factor into portfolio decisions Investors must

Legendary Investor Had An Unlikely Tough 2016 – 1% Return!

January 18, 2017 Steve Cohen is one of the most successful hedge fund managers of the last 25 years. His firm, Point72 Asset Management, had a difficult last year as the

Still Waiting For A Correction? Stock Market Outlook For 2017

December 20, 2016 Investors have been fairly cautious in the second-half, with money managers and analysts predicting an imminent correction. All key constructs of stock market valuation have continued to

Living In A Drawdown State – 60% Of The Time

Drawdowns are inevitable and more common than investors realize. Nearly two-thirds of the time a portfolio will be in a Drawdown, referred to as a State of Regret. Nearly

Return Of The Fundamentals – 3 Reasons For Stocks To Head Higher

November 11, 2017 Economy and earnings can't be ignored. Monetary policy remains accommodative. Investor sentiment has improved markedly towards assuming risk in stocks. Higher stock prices and new stock market highs expected It may be instructive to keep