Living In A Drawdown State <br>60% Of The Time

October 20, 20220Comments

Living In A Drawdown State
60% Of The Time

Bear markets bring into focus the inevitability of portfolio drawdowns.Drawdowns are more common than investors realize.About two-thirds of the time a portfolio will be in a drawdown state, referred to

by Chandra

Smallcap Stocks

Stock Market Outlook

Systematic Investing

January 20, 20210Comments

The Resurgence Of Small Caps – 2021 Outlook

An economic rebound in 2021 should benefit small-cap companies.Monetary and fiscal policy alignment to boost economic growth.Small-cap stocks can be the high growth cyclicals and outperform after lagging in 2020.A

April 10, 20200Comments

Stock Market’s Next Move

The market remains unsettled but is moving higher as it expects good things to happen after the hot spots peak.The impact of the pandemic will keep expanding deeper into the

August 7, 20190Comments

Sell Or Hold As Volatility Strikes

Unexpected tariffs catch the market by surpriseSharp selloff accompanies escalating trade conflict with ChinaWhile the negative consequences of rising trade friction are significant, there are a couple of positives which

January 30, 20190Comments

Does The Bull Survive?
Stock Market Outlook 2019

Intense volatility in the final quarter eroded double-digit gains last year Fears of a recession or a sharp economic slowdown in 2019 are inconsistent with data and most likely

by Chandra

Graycell Advisors - Federal Reserve Bank

Stock Market Outlook

Systematic Investing

September 28, 20180Comments

An Upheaval – Systematic Disciplined Thinkers Toll The Bell!

On the 10th anniversary of the 2008 financial crisis, deep thinkers predict a potential crisis that can lead to social and political upheavals. Monetary policy will be a key

September 7, 20180Comments

Small Cap Stocks Are Rising. Biotechs Can’t Be Far Behind!

While much attention is being riveted on the S&P 500 new all-time high eclipsing the January one, small cap stocks accomplished that in May. Small cap stocks are in

July 10, 20180Comments

Second Half Stock Market Outlook: What Now After Double-Digit Gains?

Earnings fountain created many opportunities in the first-half, even though index returns were relatively restrained. During the first-half, the market overcame a tide of negative sentiment, including a breaking

June 27, 20180Comments

A Short Case For A Longer Term

The stock market is volatile but still rewarding Most investors should favor a longer-term time frame as the stock market again records new highs after recovering from the first quarter

May 25, 20180Comments

Small Caps Charge Bodes Well For The Stock Market

Small cap stocks record fresh all-time highs leading the broader market indexes higher for the first time in a couple of years Small cap performance suggests an underlying risk

February 23, 20181Comments

Stock Market: It’s Not Over Yet

Stock market gored by a sharp spike in yields. Rising inflationary expectations feed into the fear of an aggressive monetary policy beyond current expectation. A cyclical adjustment as we

January 10, 20182Comments

When The Bulls Growl & The Bears Moo! Stock Market Outlook 2018

Stocks remain in a major uptrend. Staying the course worked great in 2017 and remains an effective strategy even now. Witnessing a renewal of business cycle expansion, which can

by Chandra

Stock Market Outlook

Systematic Investing

November 15, 20170Comments

Investor Biases. Be Aware!

November 14, 2017 We can be irrational investors and have to be aware of our biases. Investing biases can cost us significant returns over time. Group Thinking, Loss Aversion, and

by Chandra

Stock Market Outlook

Systematic Investing

November 6, 20170Comments

Systematic Investing Works!

November 07, 2017 Systematic Investing, using quantitative models, continues to grow as it addresses key drawback of active investing - behavioral biases Behavioral economics continues to provide growing evidence of

by Chandra

Systematic Investing

October 30, 20170Comments

The Small Cap Rush!

October 10, 2017 After a sleepy start, small cap stocks have turned up the heat. Corporate tax cut proposal triggered the rally. The enduring power of small cap relative outperformance

August 29, 20171Comments

A Partial Stock Market Eclipse Maybe, But Not A Total One!

August 30, 2017 Entering a period of elevated risk from unrealized policy expectations, budget ceiling debate, and Federal Reserve's quantitative easing reversal September and October are the months to be

by Chandra

Stock Market Outlook

Systematic Investing

February 28, 20171Comments

Buffett Makes It Clear!

Buffett's Recent Investments Suggest Confidence In Economic Growth. The Economy Has Legs and So Does the Market. Uninterrupted Market Rise Raises Probability of A Normal Pullback. Even Though March

by Chandra

Systematic Investing

February 8, 20170Comments

The Stock Market Is Heading Higher

February 08, 2017 A change of administration typically means new policies that impact economic growth The first two weeks of the new administration have been fairly controversial The stock market

by Chandra

Systematic Investing

January 17, 20170Comments

Legendary Investor Had An Unlikely Tough 2016 – 1% Return!

January 18, 2017 Steve Cohen is one of the most successful hedge fund managers of the last 25 years. His firm, Point72 Asset Management, had a difficult last year as the

by Chandra

Systematic Investing

December 13, 20161Comments

Living In A Drawdown State – 60% Of The Time

Drawdowns are inevitable and more common than investors realize. Nearly two-thirds of the time a portfolio will be in a Drawdown, referred to as a State of Regret. Nearly

by Chandra

Systematic Investing

November 5, 20160Comments

Madam Or Mister President – Pricing A Presidency

November 5, 2016 The stock market begins to factor in a non-Clinton Presidency. Late momentum allows Trump to close gap with Clinton, forcing the stock market to recalibrate. A spurt

by Chandra

Systematic Investing

October 31, 20160Comments

The State Of The Market 7 Days Before Elections

November 1, 2016 Earnings are coming in better than expected by the stock market, with the S&P 500 companies reversing an over year-long decline during Q3 itself. The final hustle

by Chandra

Systematic Investing

October 17, 20160Comments

Trading Strategy Exacerbates Market Turmoil

October 17, 2016 Recently, Robin Wigglesworth of Financial Times wrote an interesting article about some automated systematic investing strategies being pursued by institutions that add to the volatility in the stock

by Chandra

Stock Market Outlook

Systematic Investing

October 13, 20160Comments

It’s October, And The Stock Market Has Not Given Up Yet!

OCTOBER 13, 2016 Attention shifts from US elections towards earnings Third quarter earnings to be supportive of stock valuations Monetary policy to assume greater importance later in November Uptrend remains

by Chandra

Systematic Investing

September 29, 20160Comments

Hedge Fund Legend Notes Industry’s Hard Struggle To Generate Returns

SEPTEMBER 29, 2016 Julian Robertson, a legendary hedge fund manager who founded one of the most successful hedge funds, Tiger Management, noted in a recent Bloomberg interview that the industry faces

by Chandra

Systematic Investing

September 24, 20160Comments

Federal Reserve Policy Bolsters Case To Stay With Stocks

SEPTEMBER 23, 2016 The case for staying the course with stocks was bolstered following the FED's ongoing pause. As earnings season arrives, technology to power Nasdaq Higher. October can see

by Chandra

Systematic Investing

September 21, 20160Comments

Understanding Our Investing Biases – Part 2

SEPTEMBER 21, 2016 Investors are not rational and have to deal with biases. Investing biases can cost us significant return over time. Disposition, Confirmation, and Anchoring are few other biases

by Chandra

Systematic Investing

September 17, 20160Comments

Understanding Our Investing Biases – Part 1

SEPTEMBER 17, 2017 Investors are not rational and have to deal with biases. Investing biases can cost us significant return over time. Loss Aversion, Confidence, and Bandwagon are few of

by Chandra

Systematic Investing

September 11, 20160Comments

Why UBS Is Hiring So Many Quants?

SEPTEMBER 12, 2016 This recent headline on Bloomberg caught my attention. "There's a Simple Reason Why UBS Is Hiring So Many Quants" The Swiss financial giant UBS Group, which oversees nearly $2 trillion, has

September 9, 20161Comments

Active Management Loses Ground

SEPTEMBER 09, 2016 Most Active Managers Are Unable to Outperform benchmark S&P500 Small-cap managers face an even more uphill battle with 90% underperforming S&P600 There is room to consider model-based

by Chandra